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Electoral advance to March in Andalusia: the ordago of Susana Díaz

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发表于 2024-2-19 16:45:21 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式

Two years after the 2012 regional elections, Andalusians could go to the polls again. Susana Díaz, tired of governing 'tied' to the demands of IU, is seriously considering an early election for next March. The president of the Board wants to take advantage of the favorable polls and that the PP continues without a candidate. As PSOE leaders close to Susana Díaz explain to El Confidencial Digital , the regional leader “is seriously studying” the possibility of dissolving Parliament and holding early elections. The call would occur "before January 20" , so that the elections could be held "the second or third week of March." The Andalusian president has “total prerogative” to carry out this electoral advance . Andalusia, like Catalonia, “has no obligation to adjust its electoral calendar to that of the national elections.” Relations with IU have been strained One of the keys to why Susana Díaz is considering bringing forward the elections is the difficult situation her relations with Izquierda Unida are going through. The tension with Diego Valderas ' party has reached such a point in recent weeks that the major legislative projects that both parties agreed to in the Government pact have been postponed 'sine die'. Faced with this situation, Díaz has told his closest collaborators that his priority is to "free himself from IU" , to be able to have his own political program and not depend on government partners who "have him tied up." There are surveys that place the PSOE on the verge of an absolute majority The sources consulted by ECD explain that Susana Díaz's intention to govern alone is, today, "feasible", according to the surveys managed by the PSOE.

Specifically, and according to these demographic studies, if the elections were held today in Andalusia, the Socialist Party "would be the political force with the most votes , by a wide margin." It would not obtain, by a narrow margin, the absolute majority Phone Number List  but it would stay close. Back in the summer, this newspaper announced that, according to socialist polls, the PP would drop to 28% of the votes, while the PSOE would obtain 35% . Now, socialist support has grown. According to the new polls, the PSOE would exceed 40%. The PP still has no candidate Another of the reasons that Susana Díaz is using to advance the Andalusian elections to March 2014 is to “ catch the PP on the wrong foot ,” which has not yet decided on Zoido's successor as head of the party and, therefore, would not have a candidate for the elections. elections. The president of Andalusia is aware that Mariano Rajoy intends to delay the election of the new leader of the 'popular' in the region until precisely March. The head of the Executive, as reported in these pages , wants to make the extraordinary Congress coincide with his first government crisis so, in this way, he can send Fátima Báñez to Seville. If Díaz advances the elections to March, “ the PP would have to put up a candidate with a lower profile, or Rajoy would have to change his initial plans .” In either case, “the PSOE would have the initiative and, therefore, a lot of ground gained ahead of the elections,” explain socialist sources.



A victory would be a boost for Rubalcaba ahead of the European Championships. The same sources make it clear that Susana Díaz " would consult with Ferraz" about the suitability of advancing elections to March 2014. And the collaborators of the Andalusian leader do not rule out that the national leadership of the party tried to "move" these elections to make them coincide with the European elections. . Already in 1996, Felipe González and Manuel Chaves called general and regional elections at the same time, and in Andalusia the drop in the PSOE vote at the national level was not noticed. However, Díaz and his collaborators will argue before Rubalcaba that a victory for the Andalusian socialists in March would be a “strength” for the party ahead of the European elections. The participation of national leaders, with the general secretary at the head, in the Andalusian PSOE rallies, "would advance the campaign for the May elections to almost the beginning of the year." And, if the socialists win the Andalusian elections, “ Alfredo's image will be reinforced , as will that of those who are on the list for the European Parliament.

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